Week Ahead

Next week the US will be publishing inflation rate, retail sales, industrial production, housing data and flash Michigan's consumer sentiment. Elsewhere, other important releases include: UK unemployment, wage growth, inflation and retail sales; Eurozone trade balance and industrial production; Germany Q2 GDP figures; China industrial output, retail sales, fixed asset investment and house price index; Japan machinery orders and corporate goods prices; and Australia consumer and business morale, wage price index and employment figures.
Joana Ferreira | joana.ferreira@tradingeconomics.com 8/9/2019 6:45:40 PM
In the US the highly anticipated consumer price index report for July will probably show a pick up in inflation rate from June's four-month low; while the preliminary reading of Michigan's consumer sentiment should point to a deterioration in morale during August. In addition, retail sales are expected to rise at a slower pace in July; while industrial output is set to grow slightly, after being unchanged in June. Other notable publications are building permits and housing starts, Q2 nonfarm productivity, foreign trade prices, business inventories, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, NY Empire State Manufacturing Index, NAHB Housing Market Index, overall capital flows and the government's budget statement.

Other key publications for America comprise Canada ADP Employment Change and Brazil economic activity. Meantime, the central bank of Mexico will meet to decide monetary policy.

In the UK investors will turn their attention to unemployment and wages data, alongside inflation and retail trade. The jobless rate is expected to hold steady at its lowest level since 1974 and wages are set to post its biggest gain since June 2008.

Elsewhere in Europe, the Eurozone will publish the second estimate of second-quarter GDP growth while Germany, the Netherlands and Poland are set to publish their flash estimates. The bloc’s largest economy is seen contracting in the three months to June, hurt by ongoing trade tensions and a fragile manufacturing sector. Investors will also keep an eye on Germany’s ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment, which is likely to plunge to its lowest since December 2011. Other key economic data includes: the Eurozone trade balance and industrial production; France jobless data; Sweden inflation rate; and Turkey industrial output and unemployment rate. The Norges Bank will probably leave its monetary policy unchanged on Thursday.

In China industrial output and retail trade are seen rising at a softer pace in July while fixed asset investment growth should remain unchanged. The country's house price index will also be keenly watched. Meanwhile in Japan, machinery orders are set to decline for the second straight month in June, while corporate goods prices likely fell 0.5 percent from a year earlier in July. In Australia investors will be waiting for consumer and business morale, wage price index and employment figures.

Elsewhere in the Asia-Pacific region, key data include: India foreign trade, consumer and wholesale prices; New Zealand Business NZ PMI; South Korea unemployment rate; Malaysia Q2 GDP growth and inflation rate; and Indonesia trade balance.

Market players will also react to next week’s OPEC monthly report.






From Until
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Friday August 09 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
RBA Statement on Monetary Policy
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate YoY JUL 2.8% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7%
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate MoM JUL 0.4% -0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
01:30 AM
CN
PPI YoY JUL -0.3% 0% -0.1% -0.2%
06:00 AM
DE
Balance of Trade JUN €16.8B €20.6B €16.6B
06:45 AM
FR
Industrial Production MoM JUN -2.3% 2% ® -1.4% -1.6%
08:00 AM
FR
IEA Oil Market Report
08:00 AM
IT
Balance of Trade JUN €5.728B €5.385B ® €4.23B €1.5B
08:30 AM
GB
Balance of Trade JUN £1.779B £-2.002B ® £-2.9B
08:30 AM
GB
Business Investment QoQ Prel Q2 -0.5% 0.4% -0.3% -0.8%
08:30 AM
GB
Business Investment YoY Prel Q2 -1.6% -1.5% -1.8% -1.6%
08:30 AM
GB
Construction Output YoY JUN -0.2% 1.3% ® 0.2% 0.5%
08:30 AM
GB
GDP 3-Month Avg JUN -0.2% 0.2% ® 0% -0.1%
08:30 AM
GB
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel Q2 -0.2% 0.5% 0% -0.1%
08:30 AM
GB
GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel Q2 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 1.4%
08:30 AM
GB
Industrial Production MoM JUN -0.1% 1.2% ® -0.2% -0.3%
08:30 AM
GB
Industrial Production YoY JUN -0.6% 0.5% ® -0.2% -0.4%
08:30 AM
GB
Manufacturing Production YoY JUN -1.4% -0.2% ® -1.1% -1.2%
09:00 AM
IT
Inflation Rate YoY Final JUL 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5%
12:00 PM
IN
Industrial Production YoY JUN 2% 4.6% ® 1.5% 2%
12:00 PM
IN
Manufacturing Production YoY JUN 1.2% 4.5% ® 1.7%
12:15 PM
CA
Housing Starts JUL 222K 245K ® 203.5K 200K
12:30 PM
CA
Employment Change JUL -24.2K -2.2K 12.5K 17K
12:30 PM
CA
Full Time Employment Chg JUL -11.6K 24.1K -13K
12:30 PM
CA
Part Time Employment Chg JUL -12.6K -26.2K 30K
12:30 PM
CA
Participation Rate JUL 65.6% 65.7% 65.7% 65.6%
12:30 PM
CA
Unemployment Rate JUL 5.7% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5%
12:30 PM
US
PPI MoM JUL 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
Monday August 12 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
11:30 AM
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
01:00 PM
RU
GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel Q2 0.9% 0.5% 0.9%
06:00 PM
US
Monthly Budget Statement JUL $-120B $-8.5B ® $-120B $-78B
10:00 PM
AU
RBA Kent Speech
Tuesday August 13 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:00 AM
SG
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q2 -3.3% 3.8% -2.9% -3.4%
12:00 AM
SG
GDP Growth Rate YoY Final Q2 0.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
01:30 AM
AU
NAB Business Confidence JUL 4 2 3 3
06:00 AM
DE
Inflation Rate YoY Final JUL 1.7% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7%
06:00 AM
DE
Wholesale Prices MoM JUL -0.3% -0.5% 0.2% -0.3%
06:00 AM
DE
Wholesale Prices YoY JUL -0.1% 0.3% -0.1%
08:30 AM
GB
Claimant Count Change JUL 28K 31.4K ® 32K 12K
08:30 AM
GB
Average Earnings excl. Bonus JUN 3.9% 3.6% 3.8% 3.4%
08:30 AM
GB
Average Earnings incl. Bonus JUN 3.7% 3.5% ® 3.7% 3.2%
08:30 AM
GB
Employment Change MAY 115K 28K 65K 51K
08:30 AM
GB
Unemployment Rate JUN 3.9% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8%
09:00 AM
EA
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index AUG -43.6 -20.3 -21.7 -24
09:00 AM
DE
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index AUG -44.1 -24.5 -28.5 -28
12:00 PM
IN
Inflation Rate YoY JUL 3.15% 3.18% 3.2% 3.3%
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate YoY JUL 2.2% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate YoY JUL 1.8% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7%
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate MoM JUL 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate MoM JUL 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2%
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change AUG/09 -2.19M -3.4M
11:00 PM
KR
Unemployment Rate JUL 4% 4% 4.1% 4%
11:50 PM
JP
Machinery Orders MoM JUN 13.9% -7.8% -1.3% -2%
11:50 PM
JP
Machinery Orders YoY JUN 12.5% -3.7% -0.6% -1.2%
Wednesday August 14 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Change AUG 3.6% -4.1% 2.3%
12:30 AM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Index AUG 100 96.5 98.7
02:00 AM
CN
Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) YoY JUL 5.7% 5.8% 5.8% 5.9%
02:00 AM
CN
Industrial Production YoY JUL 4.8% 6.3% 5.8% 5.9%
02:00 AM
CN
Retail Sales YoY JUL 7.6% 9.8% 8.6% 8.2%
03:00 AM
CN
FDI (YTD) YoY JUL 7.3% 7.2% 7.5%
05:30 AM
FR
Unemployment Rate Q2 8.5% 8.7% 8.7% 8.6%
06:00 AM
DE
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Flash Q2 -0.1% 0.4% -0.1% -0.3%
06:00 AM
DE
GDP Growth Rate YoY Flash Q2 0.4% 0.9% ® 0.1% 0.1%
06:45 AM
FR
Inflation Rate YoY Final JUL 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1%
08:30 AM
GB
Inflation Rate YoY JUL 2.1% 2% 1.9% 2%
08:30 AM
GB
Core Inflation Rate YoY JUL 1.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8%
08:30 AM
GB
Inflation Rate MoM JUL 0% 0% -0.1% 0%
09:00 AM
EA
Employment Change QoQ Prel Q2 0.2% 0.4% ® 0.2% 0.4%
09:00 AM
EA
Employment Change YoY Prel Q2 1.1% 1.3% 1.2% 1.4%
09:00 AM
EA
GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est Q2 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2%
09:00 AM
EA
GDP Growth Rate YoY 2nd Est Q2 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1%
09:00 AM
EA
Industrial Production MoM JUN -1.6% 0.8% ® -1.4% -0.8%
09:00 AM
EA
Industrial Production YoY JUN -2.6% -0.8% ® -1.2% -1%
11:00 AM
ZA
Retail Sales YoY JUN 2.4% 2.3% ® 2.3% 2.4%
12:30 PM
US
Export Prices MoM JUL 0.2% -0.6% ® 0% -0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Export Prices YoY JUL -0.9% -1.6% -1.4% -1.4%
12:30 PM
US
Import Prices MoM JUL 0.2% -1.1% ® 0% -0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Import Prices YoY JUL -1.8% -2% -2.9% -2.3%
01:10 PM
IN
Balance of Trade JUL $-13.43B $-15.36B ® $-15.70B $-17.4B
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change AUG/09 1.58M 2.385M -2.775M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change AUG/09 -1.412M 4.437M 0.025M
11:00 PM
AU
RBA Debelle Speech
Thursday August 15 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
Employment Change JUL 41.1K -2.3K ® 14K 12K
01:30 AM
AU
Full Time Employment Chg JUL 34.5K 21K ® -18K
01:30 AM
AU
Part Time Employment Chg JUL 6.7K -23.3K ® 30K
01:30 AM
AU
Unemployment Rate JUL 5.2% 5.2% 5.2% 5.2%
01:30 AM
CN
House Price Index YoY JUL 9.7% 10.3% 11%
04:00 AM
ID
Balance of Trade JUL $-0.06B $0.3B ® $-0.42B $-1.7B
04:30 AM
JP
Industrial Production MoM Final JUN -3.3% 2.0% -3.6% -3.6%
07:00 AM
TR
Unemployment Rate MAY 12.8% 13% 13.5%
08:30 AM
GB
Retail Sales MoM JUL 0.2% 0.9% ® -0.2% -0.6%
08:30 AM
GB
Retail Sales YoY JUL 3.3% 3.8% 2.6% 3.2%
12:30 PM
CA
ADP Employment Change JUL 73.7K 30.4K 28K
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales MoM JUL 0.7% 0.3% ® 0.3% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims AUG/10 220K 211K ® 214K 215K
12:30 PM
US
Nonfarm Productivity QoQ Prel Q2 2.3% 3.5% ® 1.5% 1.5%
12:30 PM
US
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index AUG 4.8 4.3 3 2.5
12:30 PM
US
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index AUG 16.8 21.8 10 15
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM JUL 1% 0.3% ® 0.4% 0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Unit Labour Costs QoQ Prel Q2 2.4% 5.5% ® 1.7% 1.7%
01:15 PM
US
Industrial Production MoM JUL -0.2% 0.2% ® 0.1% 0.1%
01:15 PM
US
Industrial Production YoY JUL 0.5% 1.1% ® 1.2%
02:00 PM
US
Business Inventories MoM JUN 0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2%
02:00 PM
US
NAHB Housing Market Index AUG 66 65 65 65
06:00 PM
MX
Interest Rate Decision 8% 8.25% 8.25% 8.25%
08:00 PM
US
Foreign Bond Investment JUN $-7.7B $-32.8B ®
08:00 PM
US
Net Long-term TIC Flows JUN $99.1B $4.6B ® $4.4B
08:00 PM
US
Overall Net Capital Flows JUN $1.7B $37.6B ® $-26.1B
Friday August 16 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
09:00 AM
EA
Balance of Trade JUN €20.6B €22.2B ® €16.3B €17.5B
12:30 PM
US
Building Permits JUL 1.336M 1.232M ® 1.27M 1.279M
12:30 PM
US
Building Permits MoM JUL 8.4% -5.2% ® 3.1% 4.8%
12:30 PM
US
Housing Starts JUL 1.191M 1.241M ® 1.257M 1.272M
12:30 PM
US
Housing Starts MoM JUL -4% -1.8% ® -1.7% 1.5%
02:00 PM
US
Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations Prel AUG 2.6% 2.5% 2.5%
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Consumer Expectations Prel AUG 82.3 90.5 89 88.5
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel AUG 92.1 98.4 97.2 96.9
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Current Conditions Prel AUG 107.4 110.7 110.4 110.5
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Inflation Expectations Prel AUG 2.7% 2.6% 2.5%
OP
OPEC Monthly Report
Sunday August 18 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
11:50 PM
JP
Balance of Trade JUL ¥-249.6B ¥589.6B ® ¥-200B ¥-320B
11:50 PM
JP
Exports YoY JUL -1.6% -6.6% -2.2%
Monday August 19 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
09:00 AM
EA
Core Inflation Rate YoY Final JUL 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9%
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate MoM JUL -0.5% 0.2% -0.4% -0.4%
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate YoY Final JUL 1% 1.3% 1.1% 1.1%
11:30 AM
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
01:00 PM
RU
Unemployment Rate JUL 4.5% 4.4% 4.5% 4.5%
Tuesday August 20 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
RBA Meeting Minutes
06:00 AM
DE
PPI MoM JUL 0.1% -0.4% 0% 0.0%
09:00 AM
EA
Construction Output YoY JUN 1% 1.7% ® 1.8%
10:00 AM
GB
CBI Industrial Trends Orders AUG -13 -34 -23 -27
01:00 PM
IT
PM Conte Speech in the Senate
01:20 PM
BR
Business Confidence AUG 59.4 57.4 58.5
08:30 PM
US
Fed Daly Speech
10:00 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change AUG/16 -3.5M 3.7M ®
10:00 PM
US
Fed Quarles Speech
Wednesday August 21 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
08:00 AM
ZA
Inflation Rate YoY JUL 4% 4.5% 4.4% 4.4%
08:00 AM
ES
Balance of Trade JUN €-1.53B €-2.11B € -1.5B
11:30 AM
IN
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
12:30 PM
CA
Inflation Rate YoY JUL 2% 2% 1.7% 1.8%
12:30 PM
CA
Core Inflation Rate YoY JUL 2% 2% 2.3% 1.7%
12:30 PM
CA
Inflation Rate MoM JUL 0.5% -0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
02:00 PM
US
Existing Home Sales JUL 5.42M 5.29M ® 5.39M 5.37M
02:00 PM
US
Existing Home Sales MoM JUL 2.5% -1.3% ® 2.5% 1.9%
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change AUG/16 -2.732M 1.58M -1.889M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change AUG/16 0.312M -1.412M 0.169M
06:00 PM
US
FOMC Minutes
11:00 PM
AU
CommBank Manufacturing PMI Flash AUG 51.3 51.6 51.0 51
11:00 PM
AU
CommBank Services PMI Flash AUG 49.2 52.3 51.8
Thursday August 22 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
JP
Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI Flash AUG 49.5 49.4 49.5 49.7
12:30 AM
JP
Jibun Bank Services PMI Flash AUG 53.4 51.8 52
07:00 AM
TR
Consumer Confidence AUG 58.3 56.5 55.8
07:15 AM
FR
Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash AUG 51.0 49.7 49.5 49.5
07:15 AM
FR
Markit Services PMI Flash AUG 53.3 52.6 52.5 52.2
07:20 AM
ID
Interest Rate Decision 5.50% 5.75% 5.75% 5.75%
07:30 AM
DE
Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash AUG 43.6 43.2 43 42.8
07:30 AM
DE
Markit Services PMI Flash AUG 54.4 54.5 54 54
08:00 AM
EA
Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash AUG 47.0 46.5 46.2 46
08:00 AM
EA
Markit Services PMI Flash AUG 53.4 53.2 53 52.9
10:00 AM
GB
CBI Distributive Trades AUG -49 -16 -11 -14
11:30 AM
EA
ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims AUG/17 209K 221K ® 216K 219K
01:45 PM
US
Markit Composite PMI Flash AUG 50.9 52.6 50.9 51.7
01:45 PM
US
Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash AUG 49.9 50.4 50.5 50
01:45 PM
US
Markit Services PMI Flash AUG 50.9 53 52.8 52.5
02:00 PM
EA
Consumer Confidence Flash AUG -7.1 -6.6 -7 -7
11:30 PM
JP
Inflation Rate YoY JUL 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.8%
11:30 PM
JP
Core Inflation Rate YoY JUL 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
US
Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium
Friday August 23 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
11:00 AM
MX
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q2 0% -0.3% ® 0% 0.1%
11:00 AM
MX
GDP Growth Rate YoY Final Q2 -0.8% 1.2% -0.8% -0.7%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales MoM JUN 0% -0.2% ® -0.1% -0.2%
02:00 PM
US
Fed Chair Powell Speech
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales JUL 0.635M 0.728M ® 0.649M 0.656M
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales MoM JUL -12.8% 20.9% ® -0.2% 1.5%
07:00 PM
GB
BoE Gov Carney Speech
US
Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium
Saturday August 24 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
04:25 PM
AU
RBA Gov Lowe Speech
Monday August 26 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
07:00 AM
TR
Business Confidence AUG 102.5 98.3 97
07:00 AM
TR
Capacity Utilization AUG 76.6% 76.2% 76%
08:00 AM
DE
Ifo Business Climate AUG 94.3 95.8 ® 95.1 95.1
11:30 AM
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders MoM JUL 2.1% 1.8% ® 1.2% 0.8%
12:30 PM
US
Chicago Fed National Activity Index JUL -0.36 0.03 ® 0.11
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM JUL -0.4% 0.8% ® 0% 0.3%
02:30 PM
US
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index AUG 2.7 -6.3 -3.0 -3
09:00 PM
KR
Consumer Confidence AUG 92.5 95.9 96.3
G7
G7 Summit
Tuesday August 27 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
02:50 AM
AU
RBA Debelle Speech
06:00 AM
DE
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q2 -0.1% 0.4% -0.1% -0.1%
06:00 AM
DE
GDP Growth Rate YoY Final Q2 0.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.4%
06:45 AM
FR
Business Confidence AUG 102 101 101 100
06:45 AM
FR
Consumer Confidence AUG 102 102 102 100
08:30 AM
GB
UK Finance Mortgage Approvals JUL 43.342K 42.775K ® 42.8K 42.8K
10:00 AM
FR
Unemployment Benefit Claims JUL 10.8K 6.1K 9.8K
11:00 AM
MX
Balance of Trade JUL $-1.117B $2.561B $0.46B $0.8B
11:00 AM
MX
Unemployment Rate JUL 3.7% 3.6% 3.7%
12:00 PM
EA
ECB Guindos Speech
01:00 PM
US
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM JUN 0.3% 0.6% 0.4%
01:00 PM
US
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY JUN 2.1% 2.4% 2.4% 2.2%
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change AUG/23 -11.1M -3.5M
Wednesday August 28 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
Construction Work Done QoQ Q2 -3.8% -2.2% ® -1% -0.7%
06:00 AM
DE
GfK Consumer Confidence SEP 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.7
08:00 AM
IT
Business Confidence AUG 99.7 100.1 99.8 98
08:00 AM
IT
Consumer Confidence AUG 111.9 113.3 ® 109.6 110.5
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change AUG/23 -10.027M -2.7M ® -2.112M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change AUG/23 -2.09M 0.31M ® -0.388M
04:20 PM
US
Fed Barkin Speech
06:30 PM
MX
Banxico Inflation Report
09:00 PM
KR
Business Confidence AUG 68 73 71
09:30 PM
US
Fed Daly Speech
Thursday August 29 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
JP
BoJ Suzuki Speech
04:00 AM
AU
HIA New Home Sales MoM JUL -7.2% -12.1% 6%
05:00 AM
JP
Consumer Confidence AUG 37.1 37.8 37.6
06:00 AM
DE
Unemployment Rate Harmonised JUL 3% 3.1% 3.1%
06:45 AM
FR
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q2 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%
07:00 AM
TR
Balance of Trade JUL $-3.19B $-3.18B $-1.2B
07:55 AM
DE
Unemployment Change AUG 4K 1K 4K 4K
07:55 AM
DE
Unemployment Rate AUG 5% 5% 5% 5%
09:00 AM
EA
Business Confidence AUG 0.11 -0.11 ® 0.08 -0.2
09:00 AM
EA
Consumer Confidence Final AUG -7.1 -6.6 -7.1 -7.1
09:00 AM
EA
Economic Sentiment AUG 103.1 102.7 102.3 102.1
10:45 AM
ES
Business Confidence AUG 1.4 -2.8 -3.2
12:00 PM
BR
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 0.4% -0.1% ® 0.2% 0.2%
12:00 PM
BR
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q2 1% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6%
12:00 PM
DE
Inflation Rate YoY Prel AUG 1.4% 1.7% 1.5% 1.6%
12:30 PM
CA
Current Account Q2 C$-6.38B C$-16.63B ® C$-9.8B C$-11B
12:30 PM
US
Corporate Profits QoQ Prel Q2 5.1% -4.1% ® 2.9%
12:30 PM
US
GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est Q2 2% 3.1% 2% 2.1%
12:30 PM
US
GDP Price Index QoQ 2nd Est Q2 2.5% 0.8% 2.4% 2.5%
12:30 PM
US
Goods Trade Balance Adv JUL $-72.34B $-74.16B $-74B $-72.0B
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims AUG/24 215K 211K ® 215K 204K
12:30 PM
US
Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv JUL 0.2% 0% 0.3%
02:00 PM
US
Pending Home Sales MoM JUL -2.5% 2.8% 0% -0.8%
02:00 PM
US
Pending Home Sales YoY JUL -0.3% 1.6% 2%
03:00 PM
DE
Bundesbank Mauderer Speech
03:00 PM
MX
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
04:20 PM
DE
Bundesbank Balz Speech
11:01 PM
GB
Gfk Consumer Confidence AUG -14 -11 -12 -12
11:30 PM
JP
Unemployment Rate JUL 2.2% 2.3% 2.4% 2.4%
11:50 PM
JP
Industrial Production MoM Prel JUL 1.3% -3.3% 0.3% 1.5%
11:50 PM
JP
Retail Sales YoY JUL -2% 0.5% -0.8% 0.6%
Friday August 30 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:00 AM
KR
Interest Rate Decision 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.50%
01:30 AM
AU
Building Permits MoM JUL -9.7% -0.8% ® 0% 0.8%
05:00 AM
JP
Housing Starts YoY JUL -4.1% 0.3% -5.4% 1%
06:00 AM
DE
Retail Sales MoM JUL -2.2% 3.0% ® -1% -1.4%
06:00 AM
DE
Retail Sales YoY JUL 4.4% -1.6% 1.9%
06:00 AM
GB
Nationwide Housing Prices MoM AUG 0% 0.3% 0.1% -0.4%
06:00 AM
GB
Nationwide Housing Prices YoY AUG 0.6% 0.3% 1%
06:45 AM
FR
Inflation Rate YoY Prel AUG 1.1% 1.1% 1% 1.2%
08:00 AM
IT
Unemployment Rate JUL 9.9% 9.8% ® 9.6% 9.9%
08:30 AM
GB
BoE Consumer Credit JUL £0.897B £1.075B ® £1B £1.1B
08:30 AM
GB
Mortgage Approvals JUL 67.31K 66.51K ® 66.167K 66.8K
08:30 AM
GB
Mortgage Lending JUL £4.61B £3.79B ® £3.7B £3.8B
09:00 AM
EA
Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash AUG 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1%
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate YoY Flash AUG 1% 1% 1% 1.2%
09:00 AM
EA
Unemployment Rate JUL 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5%
09:00 AM
IT
Inflation Rate YoY Prel AUG 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
10:00 AM
IT
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q2 0% 0.1% 0% 0%
10:00 AM
IT
GDP Growth Rate YoY Final Q2 -0.1% -0.1% 0% 0%
12:00 PM
BR
Unemployment Rate JUL 11.8% 12% 11.9% 11.9%
12:00 PM
IN
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q2 5% 5.8% 5.7% 5.6%
12:00 PM
ZA
Balance of Trade JUL ZAR-2.88B ZAR5.54B ® ZAR2.7B ZAR -1.6B
12:30 PM
CA
GDP Growth Rate Annualized Q2 3.7% 0.5% ® 3% 2.3%
12:30 PM
CA
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 0.9% 0.1% 0.4%
12:30 PM
CA
GDP MoM JUN 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Personal Income MoM JUL 0.1% 0.5% ® 0.3% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Personal Spending MoM JUL 0.6% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4%
12:30 PM
US
PCE Price Index MoM JUL 0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
PCE Price Index YoY JUL 1.4% 1.3% ® 1.5%
01:45 PM
US
Chicago PMI AUG 50.4 44.4 47.5 49
02:00 PM
US
Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations Final AUG 2.6% 2.5% 2.6% 2.6%
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Consumer Expectations Final AUG 79.9 90.5 82.3 82.3
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final AUG 89.8 98.4 92.1 92.1
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Current Conditions Final AUG 105.3 110.7 107.4 107.4
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Inflation Expectations Final AUG 2.7% 2.6% 2.7% 2.7%
Saturday August 31 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:00 AM
CN
NBS Manufacturing PMI AUG 49.5 49.7 49.7 49.5
01:00 AM
CN
NBS Non Manufacturing PMI AUG 53.8 53.7 53.6 52.5
Sunday September 01 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:00 AM
KR
Balance of Trade AUG $1.72B $2.44B $6.5B
12:00 AM
KR
Exports YoY AUG -13.6% -11% -13.6% -11.5%
10:30 PM
AU
AIG Manufacturing Index AUG 53.1 51.3 51.6
11:00 PM
AU
CommBank Manufacturing PMI Final AUG 50.9 51.6 51.3
Monday September 02 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
JP
Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI Final AUG 49.3 49.4 49.5 49.5
12:30 AM
KR
Markit Manufacturing PMI AUG 49.0 47.3 47.7
01:45 AM
CN
Caixin Manufacturing PMI AUG 50.4 49.9 49.8 49.8
04:00 AM
ID
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 3.49% 3.32% 3.54% 3.58%
05:00 AM
IN
Markit Manufacturing PMI AUG 51.4 52.5 52.2 51.9
06:00 AM
RU
Markit Manufacturing PMI AUG 49.1 49.3 49.7
06:45 AM
EA
ECB Mersch Speech
07:00 AM
TR
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 1.2% 1.6% ® -0.6%
07:00 AM
TR
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q2 -1.5% -2.4% ® -2% -2.4%
07:15 AM
ES
Markit Manufacturing PMI AUG 48.8 48.2 48.5 48.9
07:45 AM
IT
Markit/ADACI Manufacturing PMI AUG 48.7 48.5 48.5 49.2
07:50 AM
FR
Markit Manufacturing PMI Final AUG 51.1 49.7 51 51.0
07:55 AM
DE
Markit Manufacturing PMI Final AUG 43.5 43.2 43.6 43.6
08:00 AM
EA
Markit Manufacturing PMI Final AUG 47 46.5 47 47.0
08:30 AM
GB
Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI AUG 47.4 48 48.4 47.6
09:15 AM
EA
ECB Lautenschläger Speech
11:00 AM
MX
Business Confidence AUG 49.7 49.4 ® 49
11:30 AM
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
12:00 PM
EA
ECB Guindos Speech
01:45 PM
EA
ECB Cœuré Speech
06:00 PM
BR
Balance of Trade AUG $3.28B $2.29B $3.2B $2.9B
11:00 PM
KR
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q2 1% -0.4% 1.1%
11:00 PM
KR
GDP Growth Rate YoY Final Q2 2% 1.7% 2.1%
11:00 PM
KR
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 0.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.3%
Tuesday September 03 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
Retail Sales MoM JUL -0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
04:30 AM
AU
RBA Interest Rate Decision 1% 1% 1% 1%
07:00 AM
ES
Unemployment Change AUG 54.4K -4.3K 51K
07:00 AM
TR
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 15.01% 16.65% 15.51% 15.7%
08:30 AM
GB
Construction PMI AUG 45.0 45.3 45.9 45.9
08:45 AM
ZA
ABSA Manufacturing PMI AUG 45.7 52.1 50
09:30 AM
ZA
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 3.1% -3.1% ® 2.4% 2.3%
09:30 AM
ZA
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q2 0.9% 0% 0.8% 0.6%
12:00 PM
BR
Industrial Production MoM JUL -0.3% -0.7% ® 0.3% 0.4%
01:30 PM
CA
Markit Manufacturing PMI AUG 49.1 50.2 51
01:45 PM
US
Markit Manufacturing PMI Final AUG 50.3 50.4 49.9 49.9
02:00 PM
US
Construction Spending MoM JUL 0.1% -0.7% 0.3% 0.5%
02:00 PM
US
ISM Manufacturing Employment AUG 47.4 51.7 51.5
02:00 PM
US
ISM Manufacturing New Orders AUG 47.2 50.8 50.6
02:00 PM
US
ISM Manufacturing PMI AUG 49.1 51.2 51.1 50.7
02:00 PM
US
ISM Manufacturing Prices AUG 46.0 45.1 45.8 46
04:20 PM
DE
Bundesbank Balz Speech
09:00 PM
US
Fed Rosengren Speech
10:30 PM
AU
AIG Services Index AUG 51.4 43.9 41
11:00 PM
AU
CommBank Services PMI Final AUG 49.1 52.3 49.2 49.2
Wednesday September 04 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
JP
Jibun Bank Services PMI Final AUG 53.3 51.8 53.4 53.4
12:50 AM
JP
BoJ Gov Kuroda Speech
01:30 AM
AU
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 0.5% 0.5% ® 0.5% 0.5%
01:30 AM
AU
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q2 1.4% 1.7% ® 1.4% 1.5%
01:30 AM
JP
BoJ Kataoka Speech
01:45 AM
CN
Caixin Services PMI AUG 52.1 51.6 52
07:15 AM
ES
Markit Services PMI AUG 54.3 52.9 53 52.5
07:45 AM
IT
Markit/ADACI Services PMI AUG 50.6 51.7 51.6 51.1
07:50 AM
FR
Markit Services PMI Final AUG 53.4 52.6 53.3 53.3
07:55 AM
DE
Markit Services PMI Final AUG 54.8 54.5 54.4 54.4
08:00 AM
EA
Markit Services PMI Final AUG 53.5 53.2 53.4 53.4
08:30 AM
GB
Markit/CIPS UK Services PMI AUG 50.6 51.4 51 51
09:00 AM
EA
Retail Sales MoM JUL -0.6% 1.2% ® -0.6% -0.4%
09:00 AM
EA
Retail Sales YoY JUL 2.2% 2.8% ® 2% 1.5%
11:00 AM
EA
ECB Lane Speech
12:30 PM
CA
Balance of Trade JUL C$-1.12B C$-0.06B ® C$-0.4B C$-0.1B
12:30 PM
US
Balance of Trade JUL $-54B $-55.5B ® $-53.5B $-53.4B
01:00 PM
BR
Markit Services PMI AUG 51.4 52.2 52.5
01:30 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
02:00 PM
CA
BoC Interest Rate Decision 1.75% 1.75% 1.75% 1.75%
02:00 PM
EA
ECB Mersch Speech
02:00 PM
US
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism SEP 50.8 55.1 53.9
04:30 PM
EA
ECB Guindos Speech
04:30 PM
US
Fed Bowman Speech
04:30 PM
US
Fed Bullard Speech
05:00 PM
US
Fed Kashkari Speech
07:15 PM
US
Fed Evans Speech
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change AUG/30 0.401M -11.1M
Thursday September 05 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
Balance of Trade JUL A$7.268B A$7.977B ® A$7.4B A$7.7B
06:00 AM
DE
Factory Orders MoM JUL -2.7% 2.7% ® -1.5% -1.2%
07:00 AM
EA
ECB Guindos Speech
07:30 AM
DE
Construction PMI AUG 46.3 49.5 49.9
10:30 AM
ES
Consumer Confidence AUG 86 97 98.2
11:00 AM
MX
Consumer Confidence AUG 43.4 43.1 103
12:15 PM
US
ADP Employment Change AUG 195K 142K ® 149K 145K
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims AUG/31 217K 216K ® 215K 219K
12:30 PM
US
Nonfarm Productivity QoQ Final Q2 2.3% 3.5% 2.2% 2.3%
12:30 PM
US
Unit Labour Costs QoQ Final Q2 2.6% 5.7% ® 2.5% 2.4%
01:00 PM
RU
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 4.3% 4.6% 4.4% 4.6%
01:45 PM
US
Markit Composite PMI Final AUG 50.7 52.6 50.9 50.9
01:45 PM
US
Markit Services PMI Final AUG 50.7 53 51 50.9
02:00 PM
US
Factory Orders MoM JUL 1.4% 0.5% ® 1% 0.9%
02:00 PM
US
ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Activity AUG 61.5 53.1 53.3 52.9
02:00 PM
US
ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment AUG 53.1 56.2 55.9
02:00 PM
US
ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders AUG 60.3 54.1 53.8
02:00 PM
US
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI AUG 56.4 53.7 54 53.4
02:00 PM
US
ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices AUG 58.2 56.5 56
02:30 PM
GB
BoE Tenreyro Speech
03:00 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change AUG/30 -4.771M -10.027M -2.488M
03:00 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change AUG/30 -2.396M -2.09M -1.523M
03:15 PM
DE
Bundesbank Balz Speech
03:20 PM
US
Total Vehicle Sales AUG 16.9M 16.8M 16.9M
Friday September 06 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
06:00 AM
DE
Industrial Production MoM JUL -0.6% -1.1% ® 0.3% 0.5%
06:45 AM
FR
Balance of Trade JUL €-4.6B €-5.3B ® €-3.2B
07:30 AM
GB
Halifax House Price Index MoM AUG 0.3% 0.4% ® 0.2% 0.4%
07:30 AM
GB
Halifax House Price Index YoY AUG 1.8% 1.5% ® 3.4% 3.4%
08:00 AM
IT
Retail Sales MoM JUL -0.5% 1.9% 0.4% -1.2%
09:00 AM
EA
Employment Change QoQ Final Q2 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%
09:00 AM
EA
Employment Change YoY Final Q2 1.2% 1.3% 1.1% 1.1%
09:00 AM
EA
GDP Growth Rate QoQ 3rd Est Q2 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2%
09:00 AM
EA
GDP Growth Rate YoY 3rd Est Q2 1.2% 1.3% ® 1.1% 1.1%
09:15 AM
EA
ECB Guindos Speech
10:30 AM
RU
Interest Rate Decision 7% 7.25% 7% 7%
12:00 PM
BR
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 3.43% 3.22% 3.44% 3.4%
12:00 PM
RU
Monetary Policy Report
12:30 PM
CA
Employment Change AUG 81.1K -24.2K 15K 20K
12:30 PM
CA
Full Time Employment Chg AUG 23.8K -11.6K 13K
12:30 PM
CA
Part Time Employment Chg AUG 57.2K -12.6K 7K
12:30 PM
CA
Participation Rate AUG 65.8% 65.6% 65.7% 65.7%
12:30 PM
CA
Unemployment Rate AUG 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.70%
12:30 PM
US
Non Farm Payrolls AUG 130K 159K ® 158K 151K
12:30 PM
US
Unemployment Rate AUG 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.6%
01:00 PM
RU
Foreign Exchange Reserves AUG $529.1B $519.8B
02:00 PM
CA
Ivey PMI s.a AUG 60.6 54.2 53 53.9
04:30 PM
US
Fed Chair Powell Speech
Sunday September 08 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
04:00 AM
CN
Balance of Trade AUG $34.83B $44.58B ® $43B $40B
04:00 AM
CN
Exports YoY AUG -1% 3.3% 2%
04:00 AM
CN
Imports YoY AUG -5.6% -5.3% -6%
11:50 PM
JP
Current Account JUL ¥1999.9B ¥1211.2B ¥2083.2B ¥1980B
11:50 PM
JP
GDP Growth Annualized Final Q2 1.3% 2.2% ® 1.3% 1.8%
11:50 PM
JP
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q2 0.3% 0.5% ® 0.3% 0.4%
Monday September 09 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
Home Loans MoM JUL 5.0% -0.8% ® 0.5%
01:30 AM
AU
Investment Lending for Homes JUL 3.9% 1.9% ® 1.3%
06:00 AM
DE
Balance of Trade JUL €21.4B €16.6B ® €12.9B
08:00 AM
GB
BoE Vlieghe Speech
08:30 AM
GB
Balance of Trade JUL £-0.219B £-0.132B ® £-2.3B
08:30 AM
GB
Construction Output YoY JUL 0.3% -0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
08:30 AM
GB
GDP 3-Month Avg JUL 0.0% -0.2% -0.1% -0.1%
08:30 AM
GB
Industrial Production MoM JUL 0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.4%
08:30 AM
GB
Industrial Production YoY JUL -0.9% -0.6% -1.1% -0.8%
08:30 AM
GB
Manufacturing Production YoY JUL -0.6% -1.4% -1.1% -1.2%
11:00 AM
MX
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 3.16% 3.78% 3.2% 3.2%
11:30 AM
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
12:20 PM
EA
ECB Hakkarainen Speech
01:00 PM
RU
GDP Growth Rate YoY Final Q2 0.9% 0.5% 0.9% 0.9%
Tuesday September 10 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
NAB Business Confidence AUG 1 4 3
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 2.8% 2.8% 2.6% 2.6%
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate MoM AUG 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5%
01:30 AM
CN
PPI YoY AUG -0.8% -0.3% -0.9% -1%
06:45 AM
FR
Industrial Production MoM JUL 0.3% -2.3% 0.5% 1.5%
08:00 AM
IT
Industrial Production MoM JUL -0.7% -0.3% ® -0.2% -0.4%
08:30 AM
GB
Claimant Count Change AUG 28.2K 19.8K ® 30K 16K
08:30 AM
GB
Average Earnings excl. Bonus JUL 3.8% 3.9% 3.8% 3.8%
08:30 AM
GB
Average Earnings incl. Bonus JUL 4% 3.8% ® 3.7% 3.7%
08:30 AM
GB
Employment Change JUN 31K 115K 53K 85K
08:30 AM
GB
Unemployment Rate JUL 3.8% 3.9% 3.9% 3.8%
12:15 PM
CA
Housing Starts AUG 226.6K 222.5K ® 215K 190K
02:00 PM
US
JOLTs Job Openings JUL 7.217M 7.248M ® 7.311M 7.2M
04:30 PM
DE
Bundesbank Balz Speech
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change SEP/06 -7.2M 0.401M
11:00 PM
KR
Unemployment Rate AUG 3.1% 4% 4%
Wednesday September 11 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Change SEP -1.7% 3.6% -2%
12:30 AM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Index SEP 98.2 100 98
11:00 AM
ZA
Business Confidence Q3 21 28 24
12:00 PM
BR
Retail Sales MoM JUL 1% 0.5% ® -0.1% 0.4%
12:30 PM
US
PPI MoM AUG 0.1% 0.2% 0% 0.2%
02:00 PM
US
Wholesale Inventories MoM JUL 0.2% -0.1% ® 0.2% 0.2%
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change SEP/06 -6.912M -4.771M -2.686M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change SEP/06 -0.682M -2.396M -0.847M
11:50 PM
JP
Machinery Orders MoM JUL -6.6% 13.9% -9.9% -4.4%
11:50 PM
JP
Machinery Orders YoY JUL 0.3% 12.5% -4.5% 5.1%
OP
OPEC Monthly Report
Thursday September 12 2019 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
02:30 AM
SG
Unemployment Rate Final Q2 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%
06:00 AM
DE
Inflation Rate YoY Final AUG 1.4% 1.7% 1.4% 1.4%
06:45 AM
FR
Inflation Rate YoY Final AUG 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
07:00 AM
CN
FDI (YTD) YoY AUG 6.9% 7.3% 6.5%
08:00 AM
FR
IEA Oil Market Report
09:00 AM
EA
Industrial Production MoM JUL -0.4% -1.4% ® -0.1% 0.2%
09:00 AM
EA
Industrial Production YoY JUL -2% -2.4% ® -1.3% -1.4%
11:00 AM
TR
TCMB Interest Rate Decision 16.5% 19.75% 17.25% 17.50%
11:45 AM
EA
Deposit Facility Rate -0.5% -0.4% -0.5% -0.5%
11:45 AM
EA
ECB Interest Rate Decision 0% 0% 0% 0%
11:45 AM
EA
Marginal Lending Rate 0.25% 0.25% 0.25%
12:00 PM
IN
Industrial Production YoY JUL 4.3% 1.2% ® 2.3% 1.8%
12:00 PM
IN
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 3.21% 3.15% 3.3% 3%
12:00 PM
IN
Manufacturing Production YoY JUL 4.2% 0.2% ® 1%
12:30 PM
CA
New Housing Price Index MoM JUL -0.1% -0.1% 0% 0.2%
12:30 PM
CA
New Housing Price Index YoY JUL -0.4% -0.2% -0.1%
12:30 PM
EA
ECB Press Conference
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate YoY AUG 2.4% 2.2% 2.3% 2.2%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 1.9%
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate MoM AUG 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate MoM AUG 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims SEP/07 204K 219K ® 215K 208K
05:00 PM
US
30-Year Bond Auction 2.270% 2.335%
05:30 PM
DE
Bundesbank Mauderer Speech
06:00 PM
US
Monthly Budget Statement AUG $-200B $-120B $-195B $-200B



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